The world is full of uncertainties. Being able to assess those uncertainties and their impact on predictions is critical for many real-world problems. Our research group works to investigate and develop methods that contribute to a better understanding of hard-to-predict developments in vital areas such as climate, energy, and finance. It’s all about finding efficient mathematical solutions for complex problems and thereby increasing understanding. With the computational methods we develop, it is possible to quantify the range of potential outcomes of systems that are extremely difficult to predict, enabling better forecasting. Our work is targeted in particular at applications in energy systems, finance and climate science. We always aim to make the connection between fundamental research and practical application.